However barring some disruptive event, I don’t see the majority of people going to solar. There are homes that get so little sun, that solar makes no sense in the first place. That includes the far north in the US, and anyone living in the woods or a deep, narrow hollow. Those are the ones who rationally should not get solar.
But even among the people who have a house ideally suited for solar, it’s just human nature not to go through trouble to make a little change, even though it would be mighty good in the long run. Since the 70’s, we’ve known that just installing $1000 of insulation on many houses would pay for itself many times over. But do people do it? No, they don’t bother.
We put solar on our house in 2006. It’s about break-even as far as cost. But costs have gone down since then, so it must be a better deal today.
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the reason is most people do not have their homes built for them. they buy new or preexisting homes. these home are not powered by solar energy. the cost of retrofitting them is astronomical. for a 3 bedroom home it would cost about $10,000 to $15,000 to make the home mostly dependent on solar power.
then you have to look at the fact that you we would recieve very little solar power during the rainy days or during times of extended overcast and next to zero solar power during the night. this would be a pain in the butt for those in areas with a lot of rain, or snow.
so in the end, paying 15k plus still needing to use the power company to supplement power during those times, I do not see any savings in the next two years, but if builders start building homes with the solar systems installed already, which will save homeowners a few thousand. plus 10 years from now the solar panels should go down in price. I would guess then, solar power would be cost effective around 2020-2025.
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just my two cents
There are leading Australian scientists that are working on printing solar cells with an ink jet printer to make low efficiency but very cheap solar cells.
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